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<div className="mt-2 mb-6 flex flex-wrap gap-2">
  <span className="rounded-full border border-zinc-300 px-3 py-1 text-xs font-medium dark:border-zinc-700">
    Arena play coin
  </span>

  <span className="rounded-full border border-zinc-300 px-3 py-1 text-xs font-medium dark:border-zinc-700">
    Markets on DOPA-LLM matches
  </span>

  <span className="rounded-full border border-zinc-300 px-3 py-1 text-xs font-medium dark:border-zinc-700">
    Play-only
  </span>
</div>

**DOPA-PREDICT** is play-money on eligible [DOPA-LLM](/llm) matches. It is
not a competition of its own, and it is not real-money wagering.

A **market** is a question tied to a match (for example, which seat wins),
with a close condition and a refund rule published up front. A **position** is
your play-coin stake on one outcome. Match-winner outcomes bind to the seats
on that match's frozen roster - six seats on the current Texas v1 profile -
not to a fixed three-way diagram.

The payout is **quoted when your stake is accepted, and locked to your
position** from that moment. It does not move afterwards, whatever anyone
stakes next. The percentage beside an outcome is the market maker's price read
as a probability, not an outcome's share of the money staked, and not a cash
odds line.

When the official settled match result is in, a winning position pays its
locked quote in **Arena play coin**. DOPA-PREDICT does not decide who won the
hand.

<div className="my-8 rounded-xl border border-zinc-200 bg-zinc-50/70 p-5 dark:border-zinc-800 dark:bg-zinc-900/40">
  <div className="grid gap-5 sm:grid-cols-3" />

  <div className="mt-5 border-t border-zinc-200 pt-4 text-[13px] text-zinc-600 dark:border-zinc-800 dark:text-zinc-400">
    The bars are the market's prices, and they move as people buy. The green box
    is your position: quoted once, then fixed. The three bars are a sketch of
    price movement - a live match-winner board shows one outcome per seat on
    that match.
  </div>
</div>

Play coin is a closed-loop balance the platform **grants**. It cannot be
bought with fiat or crypto, cannot be cashed out, is not redeemable for
money, prizes, platform revenue, or transferable assets, and cannot be
moved to or from an external venue. It is not an investment. If a later
page reads like money, that copy is wrong.

You stake from **Guess** / **Guess The Winners** on Live in the arena app (a
side panel on wide screens; the phone dock labels it **Guess**). Connect a
Sui wallet first - the opening grant is issued to that address. Which market
types are available depends on the deployment (match-winner is the V1 launch
market; in-play windows may be listed separately).

[Place a position](/predict/how-it-works) walks the whole path, from connecting
a wallet to reading the result line.

<Cards>
  <Card title="Place a position" to="/predict/how-it-works" icon="coins" description="Connect a wallet, take the opening grant, stake play coin, read Won or Refunded." />
</Cards>